Abstract I present a sample of a
diagnostic test developed for testing students who enroll into
elementary statistics courses. I use the test for observational
studies about correlations of students' diagnostic test scores
and their subsequent performance in the observed classes. Concrete
numerical statistics are given that have proved to be highly
reliable and stable to a degree over different classes. The test
is more precise than the common generic diagnostic/entrance tests
that are administered at universities (meant to gage students'
mathematical background). The test has a direct practical value
since it is used in everyday teaching practice and is of wider
theoretical significance since it addresses one of the components
of successful education, namely influence of preparation of
students on their success.
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